{"id":4742,"date":"2026-11-05T13:50:01","date_gmt":"2026-11-05T13:50:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/checkthenews.store\/?p=4742"},"modified":"2026-11-05T13:50:01","modified_gmt":"2026-11-05T13:50:01","slug":"florida-republicans-build-149375-vote-early-voting-advantage","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/checkthenews.store\/?p=4742","title":{"rendered":"Florida Republicans Build 149,375-Vote Early Voting Advantage\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Florida Republicans received early voting figures Sunday as a new model showed their party holding a statewide ballot advantage.<\/p>\n

Election Data Guy published a November 1 graphic covering 5,254,007 early and mail votes in Florida.<\/p>\n

The graphic assigned 2,129,541 ballots to Republicans, 1,980,166 to Democrats, and 1,144,300 to another category.<\/p>\n

Subtracting Democratic ballots from Republican ballots produces the displayed 149,375-vote advantage.<\/p>\n

Unlike the Texas model, Florida\u2019s voter registration records identify party affiliation, although registration cannot reveal candidate choices.<\/p>\n

Its projected Republican vote range spans 48% to 54%, while Democrats range from 45% to 51%.<\/p>\n

The analyst also estimates final statewide turnout at 50%, a projection awaiting Election Day results.<\/p>\n

Florida\u2019s Senate election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody against Democratic state Representative Angie Nixon and independent Neil Gillespie.<\/p>\n

Governor Ron DeSantis appointed Moody after Marco Rubio became President Donald Trump\u2019s secretary of state.<\/p>\n

The winner will complete Rubio\u2019s Senate term, which expires in January 2029.<\/p>\n

Moody previously served as Florida attorney general, gaining prominence through conservative legal challenges and public safety initiatives.<\/p>\n

Republicans enter the contest with encouraging recent statewide election results and a substantial presidential voting advantage.<\/p>\n

Trump carried Florida with approximately 56% in 2024, defeating Kamala Harris by roughly thirteen percentage points.<\/p>\n

Republican Senator Rick Scott also secured reelection in 2024, reinforcing the party\u2019s statewide strength.<\/p>\n

Florida has not elected a Democratic senator since Bill Nelson won another term in 2012.<\/p>\n

The 149,375 registration advantage is therefore encouraging for Republicans.<\/p>\n

Federal campaign data showed Moody raising approximately $14.52 million through October 14.<\/p>\n

Her campaign reported roughly $13.71 million in spending and $816,355 remaining on that date.<\/p>\n

Nixon reported approximately $11.32 million raised, $8.05 million spent, and $3.27 million available.<\/p>\n

The broader Senate stakes remain considerable because Republicans currently hold a 53-seat majority.<\/p>\n

Democrats must gain a net 4 seats to take control, with Republican Vice President JD Vance breaking ties.<\/p>\n

A Moody victory would help Republicans protect an important seat while pursuing victories in more competitive states.<\/p>\n

Republicans are heading into Election Day with formidable national fundraising operations and a major Trump-aligned political spending network backing them.<\/p>\n

Federal filings show the Republican National Committee raised approximately $341.5 million during the current cycle through October 14.<\/p>\n

The RNC reported approximately $76.2 million remaining in cash, even after extensive transfers, operations, and campaign expenditures.<\/p>\n

The National Republican Congressional Committee entered October with approximately $61.3 million available, according to reported September figures.<\/p>\n

Associated Press reporting says Trump-aligned groups spent nearly $277 million since early September supporting Republican candidates nationwide.<\/p>\n

MAGA Inc., the president\u2019s flagship super PAC, transferred $200 million to No Going Back PAC for campaign activity.<\/p>\n

The same reporting placed MAGA Inc.\u2019s remaining cash above $164 million as of October 14, despite major expenditures.<\/p>\n

Earlier filings showed the organization entering September with nearly $416 million, demonstrating the extraordinary scale of its fundraising.<\/p>\n

Trump has said his political network could spend more than $400 million before Election Day, although future spending remains uncertain.<\/p>\n

Late last week,\u00a0former White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said President Donald Trump is determined to defy a challenging midterm political landscape as Republicans fight to defend their narrow majorities in the House and Senate.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe president is defiant, and he always is optimistic,\u201d Leavitt said this week in a Fox News Digital interview in her home state of New Hampshire.<\/p>\n

Leavitt said Trump \u201ctotally understands that history is not on the Republican side right now if you just frankly look at the history books, but that\u2019s not stopping him from going out and barnstorming the country. He\u2019s been everywhere this week from North Carolina to South Carolina. Be in Michigan again this weekend.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cThe president is getting out there and reminding voters what\u2019s at stake in this election and why it\u2019s so important to get out and vote in the midterms,\u201d Leavitt noted.<\/p>\n

\u201cHe\u2019s being frank and honest with his voters that \u2018I know you don\u2019t turn out in midterm cycles, but we need you to this time,\u201d Leavitt continued.<\/p>\n

Leavitt argued that \u201cthis election is a contrast between, between commonsense Republican conservative candidates who believe in cutting taxes, securing the border, putting American citizens over illegal aliens, and radical extreme liberal crazy candidates, some of the most radical Democrats we\u2019ve ever seen run in the history of our country.\u201d<\/p>\n

And pointing to the GOP\u2019s fundraising superiority over Democratic Party groups, Leavitt added, \u201cWe have a huge cash advantage across the country. We are making sure voters understand again what\u2019s at stake in this election and why it\u2019s so important that we win.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Florida Republicans received early voting figures Sunday as a new model showed their party holding a statewide ballot advantage. Election Data Guy published a November 1 graphic covering 5,254,007 early … <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4743,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4742","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"brizy_media":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/checkthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4742","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/checkthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/checkthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/checkthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/checkthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4742"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/checkthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4742\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4744,"href":"https:\/\/checkthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4742\/revisions\/4744"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/checkthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/4743"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/checkthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4742"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/checkthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4742"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/checkthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4742"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}